Election Forecasting · West Bengal Assembly Election 2026

Our Work
Speaks for Itself.

On May 3rd, before a single vote was counted, True Stats published its seat-by-seat projections for the West Bengal Assembly Election. A day later, the results came in. 95.9% accuracy across 293 declared seats. Below is the full breakdown — our predictions, the actual results, and how close we got.

95.9%
Prediction Accuracy
293
Declared Seats
3
Data Series
Data Series · 01 of 03 · Prediction Accuracy

We Called It Right.

Our projections — published May 3rd. Results proved us right. A full breakdown of predicted vs. actual seats across BJP, TMC, and Others.

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Data Series · 02 of 03 · Election Analysis

The True Stats Behind One of India's Most Watched Elections.

Record-breaking turnout, the biggest two-party reversal in Bengal's history, and the data behind every major shift — broken down slide by slide.

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Data Series · 03 of 03 · Result Analysis

How Do You Lose an Election Your Voters Showed Up For?

The biggest two-party reversal in Bengal's electoral history — what gave BJP the edge, what gave it away for TMC, and what the data says about why.

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